May 10, 2010

Schooling Schooler: Countdown to the End

by Jac Coyne | Lacrosse Magazine Online Staff | Coyne Archive | Twitter

"Paging Dr. Kevorkian. Paging a Dr. Jack Kevorkian. The patient is ready."

'Schooling Schooler' is a Men's Collegiate Lacrosse Association pick 'em competition between LMO's Jac Coyne and Nick Schooler, a current marine biology Master’s candidate at UC Santa Barbara as well as a former All-American and two-time national champion for the Gauchos. Coyne and Schooler will be picking games from the MCLA every week during the course of the season.

It’s time to put this thing to bed. For good.

It’s one last hurrah for Nick to prove he knows something about MCLA lacrosse because, honestly, after his sorry performance in the regular season, there are serious questions about his proficiency. But once he again fails this task, we’ll have to give a call to the Dr. Kevorkian of pick 'em contests.

My abilities? Bordering on flawless, and likely making some scientists wishful they could map my genome, but that’s what you’ve come to expect.

Since a marine biologist has been no contest for me, I probably should put out a feeler to Stephen Hocking or some other big brain to compete against next year, if only to close the gap a little bit.

Nick and I will be picking the first round of the MCLA Division I tournament (my picks for Division II are below), which begins on Tuesday at 3 p.m. EDT and finishes up on Saturday evening. I’ll be heading out to Denver on Thursday morning, so this will be the last competition of the year.

Also, before I forget, if you’re interested in catching a little MCLA action, the Division I semifinals on Friday night and the two championship games on Saturday night will all be televised on Fox College Sports. Check it out. You won’t be disappointed.

On to the games…

No. 9 Michigan State vs. No. 8 BYU, 7 p.m.
SCHOOLER: I have the Spartans winning this game for one reason only: I want to see them play Michigan one more time. The third time will be the charm. And having the Wolverines fall in the quarters will be like the good old days. Also, BYU has struggled this season. I saw them play against UCSB and was not impressed. I like the match up, but don't see BYU pulling this one out.

COYNE: Kind of a tough choice here. I picked BYU at the beginning of the year to win it all and I have a fading crush on Sparty, so this will be an emotional decision for me. Everybody else in this league seems to think that Colorado is the best team since the Gait-led Syracuse squads, and BYU handled them in the last outing, so maybe something has clicked for the Cougars. As Nick said, BYU has been less than impressive this season, but I think they’re playing a little bit better than State right now. I’ll take the Cougs by two in a low-scoring affair.

No. 10 Simon Fraser vs. No. 7 Florida State, 7 p.m.
SCHOOLER: One of the few upsets of the first round. I know that I said I would never pick Simon Fraser to win again this season, but this is the postseason. They definitely put a lot of work into scheduling tough this season and I see that paying off big. Especially since the tough scheduling is what got them the nod over UCSB. Florida State has slid under the radar all season, hitting a low point with their loss to Texas and not suffering in the polls for it. I think they might get caught looking ahead to the Chapman game. I see SFU winning by at least two goals.

COYNE: I think this game will have the highest entertainment value of any of the opening round match-ups. Not only will there be lots of goals, but I think the final score will be very close. Fraser lost their edge in the PNCLL tourney game. They, like the rest of America, probably didn’t know that they didn’t have to get to the .500 mark to earn a bid, so once they were assured of that, they let their foot off the gas pedal and Oregon worked them. Now they need to get that fire back. Florida State has already gone through that once this season and will know how to dial it back up after the embarrassment in the first round of the SELC tourney. Give me the ‘Noles by a deuce.

No. 11 Colorado vs. No. 6 Oregon, 7 p.m.
SCHOOLER: I would love to see Colorado pull off the upset here. Jac's head will probably explode if this happens. For some reason, Jac has drawn this imaginary line that keeps any team with a sub .500 record out of nationals regardless of how well they have done or how many top 10 teams they have beaten (including a team that hasn't lost in two years, Michigan). It’s a typical response from a person who has never played the game of lacrosse.

These guys are for real. They had some problems internally but seem to have cleared that up. I do not condone firing your coach mid-season, but in this case, it seemed warranted. They were really having some problems early, but turned it on late. I feel bad for Oregon. I would not want to play the Buffs in the first round. I see Colorado winning with a slight home field advantage by two goals.

COYNE: At one time I would have risen to the bait Nick is fishing with above, but, frankly, I’ve moved past that debacle. I can lead a horse to water, but I cannot make it drink.

As for the game, assuming both teams play at their best, it’s probably a toss-up, but that’s a big assumption. Does playing near home help or hinder the Buffs? Do the Ducks play better or worse at night? There are plenty of variables out there and, regardless of whether you believe my assessment of their tournament worthiness, I think everyone can agree that CU has been inconsistent this year. In the end, I think the seeds will hold and the Oregon attack will be able to take advantage of the physical play by the Colorado close defenders and score one or two more goals.

No. 12 Florida vs. No. 5 Minnesota-Duluth, 7 p.m.
SCHOOLER: Damn you, Florida! If they had just let FSU handle them, I would have been picking UCSB to win it all this season. So because of that, the Gators are going down. Duluth has been prepping all season for Nationals, with only three losses coming against the Nos. 1, 2, and 3 teams. They will not let us down in the first round. I see the Bulldogs winning by two goals in this one.

COYNE: An upset here wouldn’t shock me. Florida is playing very well right now and the Gators should have a lot of confidence coming off their run to the SELC crown. Add to that the Bulldogs haven’t played a competitive game in a month, and there is definitely room for trouble. I’m not seeing it, though. Duluth is a veteran team that should be able to handle the lay-off and will advance to the quarterfinals before being eliminated.

No. 13 Illinois vs. No. 4 Chapman, 4 p.m.
SCHOOLER: I rode the Fighting Illini bandwagon for most of the season while Jac has clung to some hope that Lindenwood would turn it on at the end. While Jac may be able to pick the winners of obscure matchups I know how these conference and national tournaments work. But I can't go with Illinois in this one. Partly because of my loyalty to the SLC and partly because Illinois has not seen a team of Chapman's caliber all season. I see Chaptown winning by at least seven in this one.

COYNE: It’ll be closer than seven goals because the Illini have a decent goalie, but Chaptown will advance. And, for the record, I was pulling for the Hawkeyes to make a magical run in the GRLC playoffs. I think they would have done it if they didn't have to play any of the other teams.

No. 14 Cal Poly vs. No. 3 Arizona State, 4 p.m.
SCHOOLER: Peaking early and dominating the WCLL, some have Cal Poly pulling off the upset, but I don't. I can't claim SLC loyalty here because I am pretty loyal to the WCLL, as well. After seeing the epic SLC championship game against Chapman, ASU is going to be tough for any team to take down. They have a lot of depth and some real ballers on their team. I see the Sun Devils going deep into their bench and winning by at least seven goals.

COYNE: Ballers? If you say so, “bro.” The Sun Devils have flaws, but they won’t be exposed until at least the semifinals, and even then ASU might have enough offensive weapons to offset the holes. I really liked what I saw in that game against Chapman in the SLC championships, and if they can mirror that they should beat Poly by five.

No. 15 Boston College vs. No. 2 Colorado State, 4 p.m.
SCHOOLER: I think that Jac and I can agree on one thing: CSU = National Champs. Enough said.

COYNE: The Rams are certainly the logical pick if someone is going to end Michigan’s run, but they’ll have their hands full in this game. Will they lose? No, but I bet they’ll probably get a little queasy when they look up in the third quarter and see they aren’t winning by as much as they thought they would. I’ll take Colorado State by three.

No. 16 Texas State vs. No. 1 Michigan, 4 p.m.
SCHOOLER: Not much to say here. Texas State would not be a tournament team without winning the AQ. An LSA team has not won a tournament game since Texas A&M back in 2003 or 2004. I'm going with the Wolverines in a snoozer. Michigan by eight, at the least. Probably giving some of their backups and seniors some glory.

COYNE: It's always nice to see new blood in the tourney, but unfortunately when we get it, it typically comes in the form of a No. 16 seed. That being said, Texas gave the Wolverines a wake-up call in this game last year, so it might be interesting for a little while. Michigan by at least five.

Nick has it in his mind that somehow he’ll be able to pick better in the playoffs, so he wanted the world to know his predictions for the rest of the bracket. Below that are my picks for the first round of the MCLA Division II tournament.
 
Nick’s Bracket
Quarterfinals
Michigan State over Michigan by 1 [COYNE: Go Sparty!]
Chapman over Duluth by 4
Colorado State over Simon Fraser by 2
Arizona State over Colorado by 2

Semis
Chapman over Michigan State by 3
Colorado State over Arizona State by 1

Finals
Colorado State over Chapman by 1

Jac’s MCLA Division II picks
No. 9 Grove City vs. No. 8 Western Oregon, 1 p.m.
This game should be a beauty. I wonder how much of a factor the altitude will play for these two teams with relatively thin numbers. I’m going with WOU in a tight one.

No. 10 Westminster vs. No. 7 Elon, 1 p.m.
I think Westminster will race out early and then fend off a powerful late surge by Elon for the victory, 10-9.

No. 11 SCAD vs. No. 6 St. John’s, 1 p.m.
The St. John’s close defenders make life easy for whichever goalie is in the net for the Johnnies and miserable for the opponent. I think the Bees will have trouble manufacturing goals. SJU, 9-4.

No. 12 Western Washington vs. No. 5 Davenport, 1 p.m.
When I watched the Vikings play St. John’s, it took them about a half to find their legs and poise. If they do that again – and I think they will – they’re toast. Panthers comfortably.

No. 13 Cal State Fullerton vs. No. 4 Grand Valley State, 10 a.m.
Too much firepower for the Lakers and not enough defense for the Titans. GVSU, 16-9.

No. 14 Briarcliffe vs. No. 3 Utah Valley, 10 a.m.
Briarcliffe is the mystery team because no one outside of the PCLL has seen them play. There might have been a chance for an upset against a lesser team, but UVU is a powerful squad. Wolverines by four.

No. 15 Missouri State vs. No. 2 Dayton, 10 a.m.
The Bears have perfected their defensive game, so they’ll probably keep the Flyers under their average, but Mo State will have serious trouble converting their own scoring opportunities. Dayton big.

No. 16
Sam Houston State vs. No. 1 St. Thomas, 10 a.m.
Nothing like a 10 a.m. game to kick off your title defense. Even if they don’t get off on the good foot – and St. Thomas has a history of slow starts in the tourney – the Tommies will be able to rebound for an easy win.

Previous Schooling Schoolers
Weekend of Feb. 13
Weekend of Feb. 20
Weekend of Feb. 27
Weekend of March 6
Weekend of March 13 
Weekend of March 20
Weekend of March 27
Weekend of April 3
Weekend of April 10
Weekend of April 17
Weekend of April 24
Weekend of May 1


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