May 15, 2009

Preview: NCAA Division II Men's Final Four

by Paul Ohanian | Lacrosse Magazine Online Staff

The NCAA Division II men's lacorsse semifinals will be played at campus sites Saturday, with Le Moyne and C.W. Post hosting games.

Three-time national champion (2004, 2006, 2007) and top-ranked Le Moyne welcomes Northeast-10 rival Merrimack at noon in the third meeting between the teams this season. Both teams earned North Region berths.

East Coast Conference champion and Central Region representative C.W. Post, making its first NCAA tournament appearance since 2005, hosts Carolinas Conference champion and South Region rep Limestone at 1 p.m. in the other semifinal.

The semifinal winners advance to the national championship game at Gillette Stadium in Foxboro, Mass., on Sunday, May 24.

A closer look at the semifinal matchups:

No. 5 Merrimack (14-2) at No. 1 Le Moyne (15-0)

Merrimack's best wins: Dowling 11-8, Bentley (twice), 6-5 (3OT) and 9-6
How Merrimack can win: Despite the debate about whether or not Merrimack deserved the at-large berth -- some would have tabbed defending champion NYIT instead -- the Warriors now get a third shot at Le Moyne. Merrimack must get greater productivity from senior Greg Rogowski and the attack unit to have a chance for the upset. Rogowski, one of the most prolific scorers in Division II history, has been able to manage just one goal in the two prior games against the Dolphins.

Le Moyne's best wins:
Merrimack (twice), 5-4 and 10-2, C.W. Post 6-5, Mercyhurst 11-5
How Le Moyne can win: The Dolphins have the nation's top-ranked defense, anchored by senior goalie Doug McIver and two-time NE-10 Defenseman of the Year Drew Bezek. The undefeated Dolphins have allowed more than five goals just once this season, and have a nation's best 3.60 goals against average. That defense has completely neutralized Merrimack's offense in the two meetings this year, allowing a combined six goals in the two games. Another low-scoring game won't faze the Dolphins in their quest for a fourth straight appearance in the final.

No. 6 Limestone (10-3) at No. 2 C.W. Post (13-1)

Limestone's best wins: St. Leo 11-10, Queens (twice), 14-8 and 12-10
How Limestone can win: Now making their 10th straight NCAA tournament appearance, the Saints have a veteran team with lots of postseason experience. Coach Mike Cerino's squad may not be able to match C.W. Post's firepower, but with nine seniors and 27 letter winners back from last year's semifinal squad, the Saints could pull the Pioneers into a low-scoring, ball possession tempo that would play to their advantage. The key will be controlling faceoffs and getting big stops from senior James Touhy, the Carolinas Conference Goalie of the Year.

C.W. Post's best wins: Mercyhurst 10-5, NYIT 16-12, Molloy 16-5
How C.W. Post can win: Led by senior Greg Cerar, the ECC's Player of the Year, and fellow senior Dave Loftus, the Pioneers may have the most potent offense among the four semifinalists. The Pioneers have averaged nearly 16 goals per game while playing one of the stiffest schedules in the country. While somewhat overshadowed, the defense has been solid as well, allowing more than eight goals just once this season. Finishing undefeated in the strong ECC has prepared the Pioneers for the challenge of the postseason.

Five Burning Questions

Was Merrimack deserving of the at-large berth over defending champion NYIT?
This was really the only tough call the committee had to make in selecting the four-team field, and frankly, it would not have even been an issue had NYIT defeated Mercyhurst in the season finale. But losing to Hurst tagged the defending champs with a second loss, similar to Merrimack. What may have helped Merrimack is that both of its losses came against No. 1 ranked Le Moyne, while NYIT's earlier loss was against C.W. Post.

Now that they're in, can Merrimack give Le Moyne a better test than they did in the NE-10 final?
After losing by a narrow 5-4 score against Le Moyne back on April 11, Merrimack appeared to have few answers for the Dolphins in a 10-2 conference championship game loss. The biggest concern for the Warriors has to be that senior Greg Rogowski, one of the most prolific scorers in Division II history, has been able to manage just one goal in the two games. It's unlikely that Merrimack can win if Rogowski is held in check by the Dolphins' defense once again.

Will Limestone's playoff experience pay dividends?
The Saints are making their 10th straight NCAA tournament appearance, contrasted by the fact that C.W. Post returns to the postseason for the first time since 2005. This may not be one of Coach Mike Cerino's most talented Limestone teams, but it does have lots of experience with nine seniors and 27 letter winners back from last year's semifinal squad. If the Saints can pull the Pioneers into a low-scoring, ball possession tempo and stay close into the fourth quarter, the upset could be had.

How explosive is Greg Cerar and the C.W. Post offense?
While Cerar (42g, 33a) is the offensive leader, the Pioneers have a lot of offensive weapons to surround the senior All-American. A defense that concentrates on shutting off Cerar could be susceptible to the exploits of senior Dave Loftus (41g, 12a) or one of five other players that have at least 16 goals this season.

Is this ultimately Le Moyne's championship to lose?
Anchored by a defense that features two of the best players in the nation in junior defenseman Drew Bezek and senior goalkeeper Doug McIver, Le Moyne is clearly the team to beat. The undefeated Dolphins have allowed more than five goals just once this season, and have a nation's best 3.60 goals against average. If defense does indeed win championships, it's hard to picture anybody but Le Moyne hoisting the trophy in Foxboro on May 24.


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