Blogs and Commentary

 
posted 08.06.2012 at 1.45 p.m. by Corey McLaughlin

Major League Lacrosse Playoff Scenarios

It's the final week of the regular season, but there's still much to be decided in the MLL playoff race. Three teams are still alive for the final two championship weekend spots, and the seeding order for the four-team postseason also remains to be set.

Boston and Long Island can get in with wins Saturday. The Cannons face Ohio on the road and Long Island travels to Hamilton. There's also scenarios in which Boston and Long Island can get in with losses. Denver and Chesapeake will also meet Saturday with the top overall playoff seed on the line.

Instead of trying to explain all the scenarios, here's the information from the league itself:

Current Standings

1)    Chesapeake, 10-3                                                 
2)    Denver, 10-3                         
3)    Long Island, 8-5                                     
4)    Boston, 8-5                                       
5)    Rochester, 7-6                                                                                   
6)    Charlotte, 4-9                                                                                    
7)    Hamilton, 3-10                                                                                  
8)    Ohio, 2-11                                                                                          

What Can Happen in Week 14

  • Long Island can clinch a playoff spot with a win.  It would move Long Island to 9-5 and the best record Rochester can finish with would be 8-6.
  • Long Island can clinch a playoff spot with a Rochester loss OR a Boston loss.  A Rochester loss moves them to 7-7 and Long Island would be at least a game ahead with zero (0) games remaining.  A Boston loss moves the Cannons to 8-6.  Long Island holds the head-to-head tiebreaker over Boston and if all three (3) teams were tied, Long Island would be the #4 seed.
  • Boston can clinch a playoff spot with a win.  Boston would move to 9-5 and the best record Rochester can finish with would be 8-6.
  • Boston can clinch a playoff spot with a Long Island win.  A Long Island win would move the Lizards to 9-5 and regardless of the Cannons outcome Rochester would not be able to pass Boston based on holding the scoring margin tiebreaker.
  • Boston can clinch a playoff spot with a Rochester loss.  A loss moves Rochester to 7-7 and regardless of what Boston does, the Cannons would hold at least a one (1) game lead with zero (0) games remaining.
  • Rochester can clinch a playoff spot with a win AND a loss by Long Island.  Rochester would move to 8-6 and Long Island would fall to 8-6.  If Boston, Rochester and Long Island are tied at 8-6 Rochester would be the #3 seed as Rochester would win the three (3) way head-to-head tiebreaker seed and then Long Island would become the #4 seed based on holding a 2-0 head-to-head record against the Cannons.  If only Rochester and Long Island are tied at 8-6, this is assuming Boston wins to move to 9-5, Rochester would advance based on holding a 2-0 head-to-head record over Long Island.

Seeding Scenarios

  • The winner of the Denver/Chesapeake game will be the #1 overall seed.
  • The loser of the Denver/Chesapeake game will be the #2 overall seed.
  • Boston clinches the #3 seed with a win AND Long Island loss
  • Boston clinches the #4 seed with a win AND Long Island win
  • Boston clinches the #4 seed with a loss AND Rochester loss
  • Boston clinches the #4 seed with a loss AND Long Island win
  • Long Island clinches the #3 seed with a win
  • Long Island clinches the #3 seed with a loss AND losses by Boston AND Rochester
  • Long Island clinches the #4 seed with a loss AND a Boston win AND a Rochester loss
  • Long Island clinches the #4 seed with a loss AND a Boston loss AND a Rochester win
  • Rochester clinches the  #3 seed with a win AND a Boston loss AND a Long Island loss
  • Rochester clinches the #4 seed win a win AND a Long Island loss AND a Boston win

Current Tie-Breakers/Eliminations Explained

  • Chesapeake and Denver have clinched a playoff berth
  • Chesapeake is the current #1 Seed due to holding the tiebreaker over Denver 1-0 (head to head)
  • Long Island is the current #3 Seed due to holding the tiebreaker over Boston 2-0 (head to head)
  • Ohio, Charlotte and Hamilton are currently eliminated
  • Long Island can be eliminated from the playoff chase with a loss AND a Rochester win and a Boston Win.  A loss would move Long Island to 8-6, a win moves Boston to 9-5 and a Rochester win moves them to 8-6.  Boston would be the #3 seed and Rochester holds the head-to-head tiebreaker, 2-0, over Long Island 
  • Rochester can be eliminated from the playoff chase with a loss.  A loss moves Rochester to 7-7 and they would be at least one (1) game behind Boston and/or Long Island.
  • Rochester can be eliminated from the playoff chase with a Long Island win.  A Long Island win moves them to 9-5, the best Rochester can finish would be 8-6.  Regardless of whether Boston wins or loses, Rochester would lose the scoring margin tiebreaker to the Cannons for the final playoff spot.
  • Boston can be eliminated from the playoff chase with a loss AND a Rochester win AND a Long Island loss.  A Cannons loss moves them to 8-6, a Rochester win moves them to 8-6 and a Long loss moves them to 8-6.  If Boston, Rochester and Long Island are tied at 8-6 Rochester would be the #3 seed as Rochester would win the three (3) way head-to-head tiebreaker seed and then Long Island would become the #4 seed based on holding a 2-0 head-to-head record against the Cannons.