May 18, 2010

Coyne’s Picks: The MD3 Quarterfinals

by Jac Coyne | Lacrosse Magazine Online Staff | Coyne Archive | Twitter

After missing the first contest, Stevenson's standout goalie Geoff Hebert is back healthy for the second match-up with Roanoke on Wednesday. Do the Maroons have a chance?

With seven out of the eight teams in the men’s Division III quarterfinals ranked in Lacrosse Magazine’s preseason Top 11, much of what we’re seeing so far in the tournament is right on target. Cortland (preseason No. 1), Stevenson (2), Haverford (4), Salisbury (5), Roanoke (7), Middlebury (8) and Tufts (11) all were expected to be where they are for the most part.

There is certainly a Cinderella team, and it’s RIT. The Tigers were unranked for the first half of the season and were breaking in a new coach, but still managed to grab the Empire 8 automatic bid out from underneath Nazareth and Ithaca.

Can they advance to the national semifinals? And who else will?

RIT (14-5) at Cortland (16-2), 4:30 p.m.
The first time these two tangled on March 31, Chris DeLuca scored with seven seconds left in the first overtime period to lift Cortland, then boasting a 4-2 record, to a 12-11 victory over RIT (5-3). Should we expect something similar?

It’s tough to say because both coaches believe a lot has changed.

“That was in the middle of the season and we were both different teams at the time,” said Cortland coach Steve Beville. “I think overall we’ve gotten healthy. We had some injuries and some guys out for various reasons and now we’re getting everybody back at practice every day, which is key.”

“It’s a month later, so both teams have improved,” said RIT’s Jake Coon. “I’m not sure if either team has changed a whole lot, I think we’re just better at what we’re doing. Maybe some little tweaks here and there. It’s playoff time, you know? You’ve got to play well during the playoffs. The way I look at it, anybody can beat anybody and our guys have to believe they can do it.”

Giving the Red Dragons a close shave in the first meeting should certainly give the Tigers confidence heading into the rematch, but Coon realizes he’ll need a complete effort or his magical run as first-year head coach at RIT will come to an end.

“We’re going to have to mix and match a little bit on the defensive end and finish on offense,” he said. “They’ve got a great defense and I think they are playing a lot better as of late. Getting our opportunities is going to be tough, but when we get them we have to finish them on the offensive end. Defensively, we just have to stay really disciplined and keep to the game plan. Maybe we can throw a couple of different looks at them and keep them off their game.”

When you’re coming off a national championship, it’s natural to ask how this year’s team stacks up against the ’09 title squad. It can be useful insight to gauge where exactly the team is in the maturation process, but Beville is reticent to answer that question.

“One thing I’ve learned is that each year is a new adventure,” he said. “Each team has its own personality and own chemistry and own journey. I just think we’re a system kind of a program and we try to make it so no one guy is more important than another guy. I really don’t like comparing teams to other teams, but we’re developing some nice chemistry on offense and defense. Obviously, it’s a good time of year to be feeling that.”

Beville’s sanguine attitude, along with Cortland’s decimation of its past eight opponents, has me sold. I like this RIT team, and I think Jake Coon was a great hire, but the ride ends on Wednesday. It’ll be Cortland, 15-9.

Roanoke (18-2) at Stevenson (18-1), 4 p.m.
This game is a referendum on Roanoke. Stevenson has already proved they can handle anything that Roanoke can bring, and they did it without their starting goalie – Geoff Hebert broke his hand the week before the meeting with the Maroons. And it’s not like an 18-9 loss leaves many question marks.

Still, ‘Noke coach Bill Pilat feels that was a completely different Maroon team that made the last trip to Owings Mills.

“Our team is a better than we were then,” he said. “We had some guys who stepped up and had great years and maybe weren’t playing as well then as they are now.”

We’ll probably get a feel for how this game will go in the first 15 minutes. In the first meeting, Stevenson blitzed the Maroons in the first quarter, leading by six goals. That was all she wrote. Should we chalk that up to nerves?

“We didn’t seem nervous; we scored the first goal,” said Pilat. “Unfortunately, they scored the next seven. I just think they are a really strong team and up until that point we hadn’t played a team as fast as they were. They are very fast. I think the speed that they play with and the athletes they have was really a big step up for us and we have to be ready for that.”

There’s always a different dynamic when two teams get together for a second time. In theory, Stevenson could have a huge psychological advantage over Roanoke considering the Mustangs doubled them up the first time. You can shelve that idea, according to Stevenson head coach Paul Cantabene.

“There’s not any advantage,” he said. “We play Salisbury and St. Mary’s multiple times in a season, so we’re used to that.”

It’s tough not getting sucked in by Pilat’s confidence. He talks about his revamped defense finally clicking after 20 games and it’s tough not to believe after what the Maroons did to Gettysburg on Saturday. Roanoke pretty much shut down the Bullets outstanding midfield unit led by Danno Lynch and Kyle McGrath (one goal and one assist between them).

“This is where we hoped we could be,” said Pilat. “We wanted to be one of the last eight teams, and the last four. We’re playing one of the best teams around and you can’t ask for anything more.”

Well, they could ask for a win, but I think it will take a perfect game from Roanoke and middling effort from the Mustangs. Is that a possibility? Absolutely, anything is. And one could even argue that Stevenson might be looking ahead to a possible third dance with Salisbury.

I don’t see it though. The score will be closer, but it’ll still be Stevenson in the end, 14-11.

Haverford (12-5) at Salisbury (19-1), 7:30 p.m.
This match-up is the only one of the four that isn’t a rematch of a regular season game. And that’s just fine with Salisbury coach Jim Berkman.

“It’s kind of nice to be playing new guys, a new cast of characters,” he said. “I think that’s kind of a neat experience at this time of year instead of being the ‘Game 7, Flyers and Capitals seven-in-a-row mentality.’ I think it’s fun playing a new team.”

They didn’t square off this year, but Berkman and the Gulls know plenty about the Black Squirrels.

“It’s pretty much the same exact team,” said Berkman, while watching last year’s second round NCAA game on the flat screen in his office. “I think they might have lost a face-off guy and a middie. But the entire attack and defense are back and the goalie was a freshman.”

It took them three-quarters of the season, but Haverford is finally living up to the expectations of a team that had almost everyone returning except the head coach – Colin Bathory replaced Mike Murphy when the latter took the Penn head coaching gig. For the most part, Bathory has kept the previous system in place with the exception of defense, where there has been a departure from the Murphy days.

“The offense is very similar up to this date – not that they won’t throw something at us on Wednesday – but the defense is really extending and getting after people versus the match-up, quick-sliding, packed-in zone defense that they played last year with Coach Murphy, who I think does that same thing now at Penn,” said Berkman.

Since a 9-8 loss to Dickinson on April 3, the Squirrels have won seven straight, including a pair of wins over Dickinson and one over Gettysburg. So obviously the defense is paying dividends.

Will it translate to the Salisbury game? The Gulls weren’t exactly cruising into the tournament after losing to Stevenson in the CAC finals and then squeezing past a sub-.500 Washington College team, 12-7. But the Gulls manhandled Springfield, which had played close with a lot of the top teams in the North.

I think Haverford is going to scare the crap out of Salisbury in this game, and might even have a lead late in the game, but the Gulls will find a way to pull it out in the last five minutes of the contest, 12-11.

Middlebury (13-5) at Tufts (17-1), 4 p.m.
It seems like a pair of NESCAC teams annually meet up for a third time in the tournament, and this year it’s Middlebury and Tufts (it was usually Midd and Wesleyan that tripled up in the past). The Jumbos have won the first two meetings – the regular season meeting was a 10-5 decision for Tufts and the NESCAC title game bout was 13-12 – but it was this last result that gives me an indication that this might be another classic.

These two teams are similar in that they found their optimum offensive line-up late in the season. For Middlebury, this was understandable. After graduating a class that accounted for over 200 points last year, including all-world midfielder Mike Stone, head coach Dave Campbell had some tinkering to do.

“It took a while to find our identity on offense,” he said. “We had David Hild running midfield for most of the year and it turned out we were a better team with him at attack, so that just took a little bit longer than usual to find our identity. Now I feel like we are a more potent team on the offense end and we are definitely clicking.”

Tufts was in better shape offensive simply by having D.J. Hessler (32g, 46a) back in the fold, but a personnel decision in the middle of the year really solidified the Jumbos front line.

“Sean Kirwan was splitting time at the beginning of the year and then we made a decision to stay with him and he has really stepped up and given us some stability there,” said Tufts coach Mike Daly. Kirwan, a sophomore, leads the team in markers (43), including a seven-goal binge in the 21-8 stomping of Endicott in the second round.

While both Hild and Kirwan will be crucial, Campbell feels it will be the players who can get the ball to their offense who will hold the key to this third outing.

“The last game they did a much better job facing off than we did,” said Campbell. “When we went on our run, we were winning the face-offs, and when they went on their run, they were winning the face-offs. That’s a huge factor in the game. I think we can do better in that area.”

So who’s the pick in this game? It’s a really tough call. Campbell almost gave me the exact same answer this year as last year, when the Panthers lost the regular season and NESCAC tournament game to Wesleyan and then turned around and smoked the Cardinals in the NCAAs, 13-5.

“Personally, I feel we don’t deserve to go any further unless we beat Tufts,” said Campbell, echoing an identical thought from ’09. “I shared that with the team after the game on Saturday and I think they’re all in agreement that there is no other place we’d rather be than Medford on Wednesday. If they beat us on, good for them and we’ll wish them luck, but they’re going to get everything we’ve got.”

While Daly has the confidence of a coach who has won 17 of the 18 games he’s played this year, there’s always a wild card.

“When it comes to 18 to 22-year-olds, it’s day to day,” laughed Daly. “We’d like to think we’re where we need to be, but we’ll know more on Wednesday at 4 p.m.”

Every part of me is saying go with Middlebury, but I’m taking Tufts and the sweep, 11-10, in overtime.


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