April 22, 2010

Competing the Z: Did You Hear That Thud?

by Jac Coyne | Lacrosse Magazine Online Staff | Coyne Archive | Twitter

Finally, Zazzaro tumbled back to earth after an absurd stretch of success that will likely never be duplicated in this competition. Advantage: Coyne.

'Competing the Z' is a Men's Division III pick 'em competition between LMO's Jac Coyne and Dave Zazzaro, a D-III coach for 17 years and a former member of the NCAA regional committee. They will be picking five games every week during the course of the season. Scroll to the bottom for past picks.

Did you hear that thud?

It was Zazzaro finally coming back down to earth.

After going on a ridiculous 18-2 run over the previous three weeks to effectively put my regular season hopes on ice, Zazzaro displayed the kind aptitude I was counting on for much of this competition when he registered a 1-4 mark last week.

It allowed me to cut the gap to 10 games with two weeks to go after I went 4-1 – my only loss being those confounding Camels – but more importantly I think it has Z a bit off kilter. He was very late with his selections this week and he became a little snippy when I sent him a friendly reminder.

So it’s a good chance he’ll wobble completely off his axis once the conference tournament and NCAA seasons roll around in three weeks.

That’s the plan anyway.

With the exception of Zazzaro’s sandbag pick at the end, we’ve got four pretty decent games with postseason implications of some kind. We’ll kick it off with Conn. College again because I want to get on the bandwagon before it gets too late.

A quick aside: you're probably wondering why we didn't pick the Salisbury-Stevenson game, but that was only soldified on Wednesday night - several days after we choose the games for the week (usually Monday). We'll have to wait until they meet for a third time.

On to the games...

No. 6 Conn College (13-0) at Colby (8-5), 1 p.m., Saturday
COYNE: This would again seem like the perfect time to pick an upset of the Camels – I’ve been doing it for quite a while now – but they’ve beaten me into submission. Colby has a dominant face-off man and grind-it-out approach, but that 12-5 loss to Amherst has me spooked. Plus, Steve Dachille has proven he can score goals against anyone, so I’m going with Conn. College in a relatively easy win in Waterville, 10-6.

ZAZZARO: Can anyone beat Conn. College in NESCAC? I see the amazing undefeated run ending for the Camels in Waterville. Colby has played everyone tough, coupled with the long road trip to Maine (Conn College almost lost to Bowdoin on the road), so I see Conn. College losing, 7-6.

FDU-Florham (8-4) at Elizabethtown (9-3), 1 p.m., Saturday
COYNE: I thought the MAC was going to be crazy this year and the conference has not disappointed, especially with Eastern’s overtime victory over Etown on Wednesday. Now there are three teams with 7-1 records and two of them are featured in this game. FDU-Florham is the defending conference champions and appear to be finally finding their stride after a rough non-conference stretch. Etown was on an eight-game tear before the aforementioned setback to Eastern.

This game is for seeding purposes, which with the depth of the conference doesn’t mean a whole lot since there are six teams I could envision winning the AQ once it starts. I think something has clicked with the Devils, so I’m taking FDU by a deuce.

ZAZZARO: I’ll take Etown in a close one, 9-8. Coach Corcoran has quietly built a strong program. FDU went to the tournament last year so this is a must win for either program to solidify the top spot in the MAC.

No. 17 Washington & Lee (10-4) at No. 12 Lynchburg (11-4), 7 p.m., Saturday
COYNE: Both of these teams are teetering on the brink of Pool C, only adding to what is a fierce rivalry. My initial concern is that the Generals will not be able to score enough goals to stay with the Hornets, but on second thought, I may not be giving W&L’s defense the credit it deserves. Throw in the fact that Lynchburg lost all three games in which they failed to hit double-digits, and I’m thinking W&L has the ingredients to pull off this mini-upset, even on the road. Generals, 9-8.

ZAZZARO: This is a huge game (every year it is for these two teams) as both need to strengthen their Pool C resume if they don’t win the ODACs. I like the home team. Lynchburg, 10-8. But I would like to give a quick shout-out to Jason Archbell, the assistant coach at W&L, who always seems to make a positive difference wherever he goes. Here’s hoping he is line for a head coach gig soon; he would be a great pick up for a school.

Coyne’s Pick
WNEC (9-5) at Springfield (8-4), 4 p.m., Friday
COYNE: WNEC put together a tough schedule, but they don’t have the conference depth to take five losses and still be in the Pool C hunt. So this game is all about bragging rights in the lovely city of Springfield, Massachusetts. It is also a Springfield Mafia game – WNEC John Klepacki is a former player for the Pride under current Springfield coach Keith Bugbee – meaning there will be plenty of incentive to go all out despite both programs needing their respective conference’s AQ. Who does that favor?

I like Springfield in a defensive tussle, 8-6.

ZAZZARO: This is a tough game to figure out. The common opponent information doesn’t match up. I’ll go with the home team again. Springfield 10-9.

Zazzaro’s Pick
Whittier (8-5) at Wooster (8-5), 12 p.m., Sunday
ZAZZARO: Pool B Watch. This will go down to the final weekend, so this game has value. I’ll take Wooster in a 9-5 win. Not sure how to figure out Wooster, but I just don’t think Whittier has enough firepower to win on the road this late in the season.

COYNE: It would be stunning if Wooster earned a nod over Denison for a Pool B berth, but I suppose that head-to-head win could pay off in a big way. Regardless, I’m not sure if this really qualifies as a competitive game. This is more likely just Zazzaro sandbagging now that I’m breathing down his neck. Typical. Wooster pretty easily. 

Previous installments of ‘Competing the Z’
Weekend of Feb. 27
Weekend of March 6
Weekend of March 13
Weekend of March 20
Weekend of March 27
Weekend of April 3
Weekend of April 10
Weekend of April 17


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