April 21, 2010

Schooling Schooler: Regular Season Wrap

by Jac Coyne | Lacrosse Magazine Online Staff | Coyne Archive | Twitter

It's tough not to stifle a yawn following this snoozer of a competition. Fortunately, the slate is swept clean after this week, opening up a chance at redemption for Nicky.

'Schooling Schooler' is a Men's Collegiate Lacrosse Association pick 'em competition between LMO's Jac Coyne and Nick Schooler, a current marine biology Master’s candidate at UC Santa Barbara as well as a former All-American and two-time national champion for the Gauchos. Coyne and Schooler will be picking five games from the MCLA every week during the course of the season.

Another 5-0 week. Yawn.

That would push me to 40-14 for the year while Schooler posted another 2-3 campaign, setting him four games below even at 25-29 and 15 games behind me.

The only good thing is we’re nearing the end of the regular season, so Nick can wipe the slate clean next week with some conference tournament action. We might even do a little pre-tournament predictions on who is going to make the tournament and what the seeds will be the week after that.

The MCLA national tournament is from May 11-15 in Denver, so a lot of conference tournaments are wrapping up this weekend and the remainder should be done by Sunday, May 2. Usually the selection committee releases its field and seedings on Sunday evening or Monday morning. We’ll hope for the former.

We’ve got some pretty decent games this week, although Schooler is continuing his insistance on choosing games that have at least one sub-.500 team involved. I think he wanted to tab a program that has a similar winning percentage to what he has managed this season.

On to the games…

No. 2 Chapman (12-1) at No. 10 UCSB (9-4), 1 p.m. PDT, Saturday
COYNE: This one should be like taking candy from a baby. After being mealy-mouthed about the Gauchos at the beginning of the season, Schooler is fully back in his UCSB glory mode and will undoubtedly take his alma mater. It’s not a terrible upset pick, but it won’t happen. After the Oregon loss, Chapman won’t be complacent enough to let UCSB dictate the pace of the game, which the Gauchos will have to do in order to pick up the victory. I like the Panthers, 11-6.

SCHOOLER: This game is the final SLC game of the season for both teams every year for a reason. It's always a battle for No. 1 in the SLC north, and it always turns out to be a pretty close game. UCSB has risen to No. 8 on the Playboy Top 10 party schools list, and I smell the Gauchos rising in another poll.

Santa Barbara dominated this game for so many years, but Chapman has risen to the top and won the last three seasons. Last time UCSB won, I was a senior. I think we won in double overtime with an unassisted goal from a freshman who had only been on the field for a minute. This Gaucho team is full of talented rookies. I foresee an overtime victory for the Gauchos.

COYNE: Isn't this the second year of the SLC's existence?

No. 9 Michigan State (8-3) at No. 1 Michigan (11-1), 7 p.m., Saturday
COYNE: Everything about this game – the location, the rankings, the momentum – points to a comfortable win for the Wolverines. But I’m going to play a hunch here and take Sparty. This is a big brother-little brother game and Michigan has already proven it can look past an opponent.

SCHOOLER: No question in the game. Michigan wins easily. The Wolverines slipped up against Colorado, but won't lose again until Nationals.

No. 4 BYU (10-2) at No. 3 Colorado State (13-1), 7 p.m. MDT, Saturday
COYNE: BYU has been sleepwalking for the past six weeks. The Cougars have played a decent schedule and are locks for Denver, but their slate was front-loaded, leaving them with mundane opponents for most of the month of March and all of April. Now they have to ratchet their intensity back up by playing a team in the title hunt.

The nature of this rivalry will have the team excited enough, but I’m not sure if they’ll be able to shake the rust off their game in time to salvage a win. It’ll be close, but the Rams race out early and hold off BYU in the second half.

SCHOOLER: I think that Colorado State is a solid No. 2 team in the country [they are ranked third]. I don't see them losing for the rest of the season. Along with Jac, I think they are a favorite for the National Championship. BYU is good, but they have not managed to turn any heads this season. They barely beat a struggling Sonoma team and took UCSB into double OT. They do not have a signature win yet and will not get that win in this game. Rams win by a few.

Coyne's pick
No. 18 Lindenwood (12-4) at No. 19 Illinois (9-2), 2 p.m. CDT, Saturday
COYNE: How annoyed do you think Lindenwood is right now? They are ranked too low, especially when you consider a Texas team they’ve beat head-to-head is two spots ahead of them, and everyone is waiting for another team to finally step up and take the GRLC away from them. And all the Lions keep doing is win – they’ve won eight-straight since losing to Colorado by a goal in mid-March.

Here comes the Fighting Illini, another team ready to take their shot at the title. And guess what? I think Lindenwood will answer the call again. By two.

SCHOOLER: I really like this pick. It asks the question we have been wondering all season. Is this the end of Lindenwood's reign at the top of the GRLC? I think so. Not even Justin Combs could stop Illinois in this game. They have rolled through the season thus far. They have had a few close games, but every team has. Illinois wins by one.

Schooler's pick:
No. 4 BYU (10-2) at No. 12 Colorado (5-6), 7 p.m. MDT, Monday
SCHOOLER: I know this game is a little later than we normally pick, but I had to choose it. I am almost positive that the Buffs will win this game. I have always thought that Simon Fraser and Colorado were legit teams even when they were losing. Both teams have been showing that they can win against the best. For some reason, SFU has proven their worth while CU has to prove again that they can beat a top team. I think this is their time. As I said, I think BYU is good, but not impressive. The Buffs are looking unstoppable. Colorado wins.

COYNE: Does Colorado have a ton of potential? Absolutely. They had a lot of key pieces coming back from a national semifinal run. But potential is a dirty word when you’re sitting at 5-6 with two games left in your regular season. Through the grace of a tough schedule, the Buffs are still in the conversation, but they are already into playoff mode. If it loses to BYU, CU will be 6-7 (the Buffs should beat Utah State on Friday), meaning if they are in the at-large pool for nationals, they’ll still be sub-.500.

So it’s desperation time, and that kind of urgency is usually good for a team. But I’m just not sold on Colorado, even at home. Neither of these teams makes the meter move for me right now, but I’m going to pick the Cougars on the road.

Previous Schooling Schoolers
Weekend of Feb. 13
Weekend of Feb. 20
Weekend of Feb. 27
Weekend of March 6
Weekend of March 13 
Weekend of March 20
Weekend of March 27
Weekend of April 3
Weekend of April 10
Weekend of April 17


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